Saturday, June 1, 2013

Who will lead opposition: situation is tricky in National assembly & KPK

Post election political scenario
Who will lead opposition: situation is tricky in National assembly & KPK
As par latest results  fight for leader of the house is clear not only in National assembly but also in all provincial assemblies yet fight for leader of the opposition in National and KP assemblies is tricky. In national assembly PTI has 35 seats while ppp has 39 seats. both parties won one each seat from sindh today and now their number is PTI 36 and PPP 40. PTI collation partners has 6 seats (JI-4 + sheikh rasheed -1+APML-1) so PTI is apparently in good position with 46 seats in hand in National assembly. On the other hand PPP is dependent on its two old coalition partners yet both over smart partners are are not in the mood to support PPP in her odd times. MQM has 23 seats in National assembly and JUI-F has 14 seats , if anyone of them gives her support to Khurshid shah , he will be leader of opposition. On the other hand some influential circles are as usual active against PPP. In parliamentary form of government , leader of the opposition is consider as PM in waiting. So if PPP lost this opportunity it means it will further demoralize and its future will be more pathetic then today. From Zia ul Haq's times it was a dream of such circles yet thanks to friends of Zardari Sahib, there is a chance to change this dream into reality. Some pandits are pointing towards double or tripple seat winners. in this case PTI is loser as IK won from three seats while Javaid Hashmi, Shah Mahmood won from two seats. Pervaiz Khatak(CM) and asad qaiser(speaker) of PTI also left their NA seats so it is loss of 6 seats. on the other hand PPP left Faryal Talpur seat as she is elected on women seat. No doubt, PPP is runners up in national assembly and it is her right but still PTI is not ready to accept it. In KPK situation was same regarding leader of the house election. PTI was single largest party but PML(N) and JUI-F could jointly fight for leader of the house but Nawaz rejected it timely. it was a good political gesture yet PTI is not ready to repeat it. What MQM will do is a big question. MQM can support PTI directly or indirectly. For MQM, PTI is a future threat in Karachi so with such support MQM can neutralize IK in Karachi  as she did a year ago. Either MQM putt her candidate for leader of opposition in NA or she support IK directly, it is similar.
The other important contest of leader of the opposition will be in KPK where both PML(N) and JUI-F have 16 seats each. Here ANP with 5 seats, PPP with 4 seats and AJIP with 4 seats can play vital role. So according to number game PPP, JUI-F and ANP can change scenario both in NA & KPK  provided MQM will not support PTI directly.
In next two or three days situation will be more clear yet it will remind us pre and post election difference.
see the tables of election results as par party in all 5 assemblies


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