Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Dissection of Iraq, Afghanistan and……………On cards



Divide & Rule
 Dissection of Iraq, Afghanistan and……………On cards

No imperial policy can work without local support and for local support they rely on local issues and by using local issues smartly they tries to use it in their interests. It is power politics, without love, without sympathy .

From Baghdad till Kabul fear of new divisions is haunting Middle East, west Asia, and central Asia these days. Its fatal effects will destabilize all neighboring countries especially Pakistan and Iran. Big players are ready to play with religions, sub religions (sects) and ethnicities. Infighting between communities and institutions in these countries will provide ample space for others to use it smartly.  Kurdish question will hit many Middle Eastern countries, Iran and Turkey while ethnically divided Afghanistan will hit Afghanistan’s central Asian neighbors and Pakistan.  Infighting on election results and failure to build a consensus government in Afghanistan is a bad taste but interestingly in Pakistan some over smart politicians are ready to follow it. Why they need continuous infighting? Destabilization either on the name of revolution or electoral rigging will not help communities but it is in the interest of those who have a larger agenda regarding our regions.  

Exactly 100 years back Britain and France did the same yet at that time neutrality of US played an important role in securing her interests.  Russian advance towards Crimea was timely but some intellectuals tried to draw a parallel between Putin’s Crimean move and Saddam Hussein's annexation of Kuwait. At July 14th, Fareed Zakria on CNN speaks with former Swedish Prime Minster Carl Bildt, but his statement is merely a lip service. In Syria, we already observed how Russian and U.S officials made other nation States foolish. When some major countries were ready to launch a war, it was a telephone call from US foreign minister to Russian counterpart which stopped it. Bildt said, “We are extremely firm on how grave the violation of international law is that Russia has undertaken in the case of Crimea, and that we make very clear to Russia that the invasion, the occupation and the annexation of Crimea will have consequences. We will never accept it. And it will be a burden on our bilateral relationship for as long as it lasts.” But in reality it will be a bilateral acceptance among big powers regarding occupations and divisions. Will the world again witness new division, carving of more unnatural nation states? Will UN follows league of nation?


Timing is more important than truth. Just remember, in 1920s Ottomans had occupation on middle east yet timing for dividing Ottoman or Austro-Hungarian empire was in the imperial interests and not in the interest of people of middle eastern countries at all.  The proof is authoritarian governments in Middle East since 1920s. Ukraine may think that it is right time for freedom but issue is new geopolitics. In this tug of war among nation states small countries or weak regions have fewer choices yet if they have popular governments with regional development agendas than they can find new ways. Otherwise they should be ready to face Dissections once again. Big powers are smart enough to use religions, sub religions, ethnic and linguistic differences and institutional rifts and it will be futile to combat it under the banner of national unity merely. Supremacy of parliament, political consensus not only within country but also in the region is only way. No imperial policy can work without local support and for local support they rely on local issues and by using local issues smartly they use it in their interests. It is power politics, without love, without sympathy .

An article is wrote in 2013 on same issue
http://punjabpunch.blogspot.com/2013/11/new-world-alliances-are-on-way.html?view=mosaic

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