Sunday, April 2, 2023

CEPC, IMF, US , Economists & so-called resistance Pandats & Role of India (2013-23)

 


CEPC, IMF, US , Economists & so-called resistance Pandats

& Role of India (2013-23)


I just gathered few things so to start the discussion. The game unfolded from complete annexation of Kashmir (05 August 2019) when India was rewarded by less opposition in international press in-spite of  violation of UN security council naked resolutions and Pakistan too did not react accordingly. NATO confirmation is not a new thing as in his 2013 book (On China) H Kissinger mentioned a Pacific Alliance including India. The 2nd part of the agenda completed in August 2021 when under cover of US sponsored Doha talks Taliban took Afghanistan. Pakistani PM as expected called it Breakage of shackles of salivary. Main agenda is Anti China but its public face will be different. Things are unfolding these days


نواں کم تیار ہے، بڑے بڑے لین حاضر ہوں گے

بھارت اور نیٹو میں چین مخالف قربتیں جنوبی ایشیا کے امن کے لیے خطرہ بن سکتی ہیں۔ نیٹو میں امریکی سفیر جولیان اسمتھ کے ایک ہشیاربیان سے نیٹو کی طرف سے بھارت کو تازہ لالچ کی پیشکش کی تصدیق ہوتی ہے، نیٹو کی چین مخالف مہم میں انڈو پیسفک ممالک کے کردار بارے ورچویل کانفرنس سے خطاب کرتے ہوے جمعہ کو ان کا بیان سامنے آیا ہے۔اس سے قبل نیٹو کے وزرائے خارجہ کے اجلاس سے خطاب میں جولیان اس بات کی تصدیق کر چکی ہیں کہ نیٹو کا انڈو پیسیفک خطے میں اپنے شراکت داروں کے ساتھ رابطے کا طریقہ کار قابل ذکر حد تک میں تبدیل ہوچکا ہے۔ان بیانات میں، مستقل رکنیت، دروازے کھلے ہیں اور فی الحال جیسے الفاظ مستقبل قریب میں جنوبی ایشیا کو تصادم کی طرف دھکیلنے کا عندیہ ہیں۔جمعہ کی میٹنگ میں انھوں نے دوبارہ اس پالیسی کی حمایت کرتے ہوے دہرایا ہے کہ نیٹو انڈو پیسفک ریجن میں ساتھی ڈھونڈنے کے لیے قابل قبول شرطوں پر کام کر چکا ہے۔ یاد رہے کہ ہنری کسنجر سمیت امریکہ، برطانیہ کے متعدد پالیسی ساز چین مخالف مہم میں بھارت کی شمولیت اور ایران مخالفت بارے واضح اشارے دے چکے ہیں کہ پاکستان کو بھی وہ ایسے ممالک میں شامل کرتے ہیں جو بڑی مشکل سے چین مخالف ایجنڈے میں ان کا ساتھ دے گا۔

 
https://thewire.in/diplomacy/us-envoy-to-nato-confirms-informal-exchange-with-india-says-nato-open-to-more-engagement
ایہہ وی
https://www.dawn.com/news/1745466/nato-stops-short-of-opening-its-doors-to-india

Delays in recent Pak IMF deal is political and it is largely part of #AntiChina campaigns. Majority of Pakistani economists especially close to WB, IMF knew it well but they are reluctant to pinpoint it naturally. 


"We have been very clear about our concerns not just here in Pakistan, but elsewhere all around the world about Chinese debt, or debt owed to China," Chollet told journalists at the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad after he met with Pakistani officials.


کیا چینی قرض ہی پاکستان کے معاشی بحران کی اصل وجہ ہے؟

CPEC started in 2013, the year witnessed the first democratic transition 

The Gwadar port dream started in 2013, when a little-known state-owned company, the China Overseas Port Holding Company (COPHC) but still after 9 years no one knows about its fate. 

In 2013 Tribune reported as

The Pakistani cabinet approved the transfer of Gwadar, currently a commercial failure cut off from the national road network, from Singapore's PSA International to the state-owned China company on January 30.

Media also reported that 

The port is the crown jewel of the USD 62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which connects China’s western Xinjiang province to the Arabian Sea. It is where both countries hope the logistics of incoming and outgoing cargo will be handled for an international market.


The year 2015 was important because in this year Pakistan not only signed 46 billion CPEC , Nawaz Shrief visited China along with all 4 CMs, Iran singed historic Atomic deal and Pakistani Parliament called for neutrality in Yemen conflict

In 2015, New York Times pinpointed how to stop Chinese advance in Gawadar i-e Baloch separatists, #Uighurs, 

''That influx could be a huge benefit for the ailing Pakistani economy. But security concerns in the region the Chinese transportation corridor would cut through, the violent breakaway province of Baluchistan, hang over the project. As if to emphasize the risk, separatist rebels were accused of staging an attack near the port of Gwadar just before Mr. Xi addressed the Pakistani Parliament in Islamabad.''

The newspaper criticised Nawaz Sharief in its usual prejudice tone

''Nawaz Sharif, responded with a similarly glowing tone. “Pakistan considers China’s security as its own security,” he said.

Such gushing sentiments within Pakistan have eluded the United States despite billions of dollars of American aid through the years''

''Raza Rumi, a fellow at the National Endowment for Democracy in Washington, called the Chinese visit a “defining moment” for Pakistan. But, he warned, much hinges on Pakistan’s ability to manage the Baluch insurgency.

https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/22/world/asia/xi-jinping-plans-to-fund-pakistan.html?auth=login-google1tap&login=google1tap



American & Indian press along with Saudi lobby were on high alert 

In December 2017, Reuters witnessed the fears of US & India but cleverly pinpointed that local resistance may halt it.

China is lavishing vast amounts of aid on a small Pakistani fishing town to win over locals and build a commercial deep-water port that the United States and India suspect may also one day serve the Chinese navy.

In 2021 it is reported that

On paper, the port’s potential is promising. At present, it has space to berth two or three large ships with a capacity of 50,000 deadweight tonnage. By 2045, it is expected to berth 150 ships and hold up to 400 million tonnes of cargo. For reference click here

But the author of above smart article also showed its interest in local #Gwadar people who are neither #Baloch or #Pukhtuns 

''Though parts of Gwadar have had a visible facelift, the lives of its 265,000 residents, the majority of whom are poor fishers, have barely improved. ''

It also linked development with problems and smartly missed the benefits

'' In some cases, the construction of these projects has added to their problems. Most struggle with access to basic necessities such as electricity and have limited options for education.''

In 2017 it is also reported by Reuters that 

The grants include $230 million for a new international airport, one of the largest such disbursements China has made abroad, according to researchers and Pakistani officials.

The author had smartly linked it with problems yet such reporting is unprecedented in many World Bank/ Asian development Bank projects like Tarbela/ Mangla etc 

''Port trade is expected to grow from 1.2 million tonnes in 2018 to about 13 million tonnes by 2022, Pakistani officials say. At the harbour, three new cranes have been installed and dredging will next year deepen the port depth to 20 metres at five berths. But the challenges are stark. Gwadar has no access to drinking water, power blackouts are common and separatist insurgents threaten attacks against Chinese projects in Gwadar and the rest of Baluchistan, a mineral-rich province that is still Pakistan’s poorest region.''

Afghan Transit Trade & Gwadar: it is reported in the beginning of 2020 that ATT is ready to shift from Karachi port to Gwadar & in many ways it would benefit Balochistan including its Baluch & Pukhtun population but in less than 15 months we witnessed rise of #Talibans in Afghanistan (August 2021).

Taliban sweep into Afghan capital after government collapses By AHMAD SEIR, RAHIM FAIEZ, TAMEEM AKHGAR and JON GAMBRELL August 16, 2021

On 14 January, Gwadar port officially started taking cargo under the Afghanistan-Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA). By this agreement, landlocked Afghanistan can import and export goods via Pakistani land routes. The first consignment unloaded at Gwadar port contained chemical fertilizers, which were transported to Afghanistan in trucks at the Chaman border crossing in Balochistan province. This marks the first operational use of Gwadar port for major trade activity, a success for both Pakistan and China.

When there was not any visible Chinese investment (till 2015) no one raised any question about living standards but after 2017, it is now common. 

اپنی سمندری حدود میں مچھلیوں کے شکار کی اجازت، ماہی گیروں کی بستیوں کا تحفظ، مقامی آبادی کو روزگار کی فراہمی، روزمرہ کے معاملات میں قانون نافذ کرنے والے اداروں کا عمل دخل محدود کرنے اور تعلیم اور صحت کی بنیادی سہولیات کی فراہمی، یہ سب مطالبات کچھ نئے تو نہیں۔ ان مطالبات کی گونج اس وقت سے سنائی دے رہی ہے جب سے کراچی بندرگاہ کے بعد گوادر بندرگاہ کو ملک کی دوسری سب سے اہم بندرگاہ قرار دیا گیا تھا


Misleading reporting cum editing & playing with figure, I can share similar examples of misleading reporting by other media houses too

In the interview K B said CPEC may signify a game over but in heading writer/editor used it in definite tense.... It's game over.  


TNS: A lot of hopes are pinned on CPEC. Do you think it can really be the game-changer?

KB: I do not think Pakistan will gain a lot from the CPEC initiative which is still shrouded in mystery. There are no details available and the government is not ready to answer any questions. Instead of a game-changer; CPEC may signify a game over. I see the Corridor creating threats for local businesses and fear that it won’t be a win-win situation for both countries.

in the same interview KB said we have no information or details about the CPEC but in answering another question he give figures but did not share any reference. ''share of revenues from Gwadar Port is only 9 percent while China has 91 per cent of the share.''

https://www.thenews.com.pk/tns/detail/563925-cpec-game-changer-game


Another example of misreporting against China  yet Geo corrected it timely


It will be interesting to check who are doing it intentionally and who are doing it under western press influences. 


 یہ دعویٰ بالکل غلط ہے کہ چین سے درآمد کردہ ریلوے بوگیاں غیر فعال ہیں۔

 پاکستان ریلوے کے تین اہلکاروں نے تصدیق کی کہ یہ بوگیاں آپریشنل تھیں اور انہیں پاکستانی ٹرین کی پٹریوں پر2500 کلومیٹر تک چلایا گیا ۔

متعدد سوشل میڈیا صارفین نے یہ دعویٰ کیا کہ پاکستان کی جانب سے 149 ملین ڈالر کی لاگت سے چین سے درآمد کی گئی 46 ریلوے بوگیاں ناقص تھیں۔

Link of the Story, click and unlearn

Why the great Empire is against a Chinese App? interesting times

TikTok spokesperson Brooke Oberwetter said the company was “disappointed” that Congress moved forward with the proposal and that it was “a political gesture that will do nothing to advance national security interests”

US security concerns about TikTok have existed for years. Donald Trump first attempted, unsuccessfully, to ban TikTok in 2020, but bipartisan efforts to regulate and rein in use of the app reached a fever pitch in 2022 after news outlets reported ByteDance employees were accessing US TikTok user information.

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/dec/30/explainer-us-congress-tiktok-ban


In spite of huge propaganda against #China we still have many other writings too but such things often report in #Pakistan, thanks to tricky #AntiChina propaganda.

https://www.un-ilibrary.org/content/books/9789210024617c004




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