New alliances are on the way while
old alliances are diminishing or transforming
Study of recent diplomatic ties in Middle
East is at interesting turn. Is the world is changing again?
Recent abrupt Rise in anti-drone campaign
has roots not in FATA but somewhere else. According to
Guardian's writer Jonathan Sale "In 1916,
a military scientist conceived of an "aerial
torpedo" designed to be loaded with explosives and steered into the deadly
Zeppelins on their bombing raids over southern England". His
article published in Feb 2013 under the title "The secret history of
drones". Drone attacks were in news at-least from 2004, yet in the 2nd
decade we observed its opposition more from the "friends or old
partners" then from its traditional opponents. Although it is
a violation of Nation State System yet the question is Where were
Amnesty People from 2004?
Is there any shifting of players on
cards? We may smell this invisible change by checking recent shifts
of different conflicting Nation States, either big or small, developed or under
developed.
India was a cold war partner of
former USSR yet from 2000 it has dramatically changed enough. You can even
check this change on the roads of New Delhi. India's shift to US camp happened
in the first decade of 21st century and now fear of Moodi is haunting?
Will India act as New Frontline State against China? Or transform its strengths
in trade other than war industry? It largely
depends on US rather than Indians.
Another new alliance in making is Britain-Saudi
Arab ties. Till Atlantic charter of 1941, Britain was the biggest world power
yet in planned cold war US chose Euro-Asian USSR as major rival player. In his
autobiography, Tony Blair explained diplomatic anxiety of UK to influence world
politics again yet post 9/11 scenario damaged its efforts temporarily. Rejecting war with Iran and neutralizing Syria
is another shock while entry of Turkey as a new important player is enough to
understand new alliances. SA rejection of the non permanent seat in UN is sign of anxiety. On
the other hand, her regional rival Iran is again in friendship mode with
"imperialism" which is interesting too. Turkey is enjoying its new status
yet Pakistan tries to explore middle path. Future of Scino-US relations may
neutralize Pakistan’s diplomatic anxiety.
Every first 20 years of a new
century, at least from last three centuries proved crucial regarding re-alliances
of forces.Iin early years of 19th century Fear of Napoleon and in early 20th century
Fear of Germany led the world politics.
Fear for
recent century is already set yet this time it is Invisible enemy. In a way it is more dangerous than previous vissible threats. Cat will
come out of beg soon.
Is there a message in this shifting
or not, it is up to you to think.
in 2013, November i wrote an article on this issue
http://www.wichaar.com/news/118/ARTICLE/30184/2013-11-10.html
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