Sunday, December 20, 2015

Who will lead ISA? Saudi Arab or Turkey! Learning from Iranian, Turkish & German Experiences


Who will lead ISA? 
Saudi Arab or Turkey!
Learning from Iranian, Turkish & German Experiences
Saudi Arab is among the key players who launched International Sunni Alliance (ISA) along with 34 countries including Turkey  and as par announcement it is an alliance to combat infamous ISIS. In many ways the misleading term "Sunni Alliance" is a new trap  and KSA may face similar situation as faced by Iran in late 1960s. Interestingly France & Russia will ready to repeat their roles smartly from the other sides of fence. Will Pakistan take his part of the cake like it did during Bhutto times. Inclusion of French influence countries among the list of 34 is also an interesting episode. 

Among 34 countries, as reported by Independent included the partially-recognised state of Palestine and the tiny African island state of Comoros, with an army of around 500 soldiers. It also include Muslim minority countries like Cote d’Ivoire  and Benin with less than 39% and 25%  Muslim population. Absence of Afghanistan and Central Asian States (Almost all are Sunni majority countries) also enough to deconstruct so-called "Sunni Alliance". Close ties of KSA and Britain as well as breaking of ice between Iran and US in last three years is an interesting development regarding Change of Players. Out of 59 Muslim countries more than 28 are out from this alliance  and majority of these Muslim countries have Sunni majorities. Here i will not deconstruct the misleading terms "Sunni" and "Shia" often used in modern literature  mischievously by the researchers, policy makers and think tanks. 
In the book Nuclear Iran: The Birth of an Atomic State author narrated the story of Shah of Iran who wanted to become SHO in Middle East with the help of new boss , the US in late 1960s.  But the boss appointed its hand pick SHO.  Keeping in view legacy of Iran as important player in Central Asia, South Asia and Middle East along with its French connections in Africa the boss was not ready to give him a role of regional power. So in order to defame it, a story of Iranian Atomic Bomb was coined smartly. In response Iran with the help of Bin billa, Qaddafi formed a Muslim Allience of 25 countries known in history as OIC in 1969. But till the 2nd Conference held at Lhore in 1974 Iran was no more among leading countries. That is how KSA got SHO job. To push Iran in further isolation France and Russia (USSR) sponsored sect base revolution which clipped the wings. 
If you have fish eye view of power politics of a village then you can easily understand international politics. Nation States (big and small) acts and reacts as par their economic and territorial interests. 
The current efforts of KSA will help Turkey as it happened during Yamen crisis. Russians too realized extended role of Turkey and that is why Russia restrained to lip service regarding Jet crisis. KSA can learn from examples of post WW1 Turkey as well as post WW2 Germany & Japan and post 1970 Iran. Since 1923, Turkey prepared herself for internal transformation and similarly Germany played her cards well in 2nd half of 20th century. 
I wrote some pieces before and you may read them at
New alliances are on the way
New world alliances are On the Way??

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