Thursday, January 21, 2016

Is Chinese Knot Ready to Unfold? ( From mideast to G-20)

Is Chinese Knot Ready to Unfold? 

( From mideast to G-20) 

Chinese President is on mideast visit these days and after Saudi Arabia and Egypt he will visit Iran. Like Turkish and Arabian scholars their Iranian counterparts too have high hopes from this visit. Unfolding of Chinese knot is an interesting phenomenon yet it will be in full swing till september 2016 as China is hosting G-20 Pro Growth, Anti-Terrorism Summit. This new G-20 is quite different from the one purposed by Britain in 1990s. In his book The Journey Tony Blair wrote the story of rise and fall of British diplomatic efforts  started from converting G7 into G8 by inviting Russia in spite of US opposition. Expansion of G8 was next step and Blair wrote “Usually, G8 focused on the issue of the day and, traditionally, was always about the world economy. Its membership represented historical rather than present economic and political powers. Gradually we started to involve others informally, something we began at the G8 in Birmingham in 1998.” (p.554)
However, the process could not get momentum due to 9/11. Yet the hard-working Blair didn’t give up. It was in 2005 that he invited China, Brazil, South Africa, India and Mexico at the G8 session in Scotland. He was ready to preside the July 8 session. On July 7, while he was meeting the Chinese President Hu Jintao, when after 15 minutes, he was informed about the 7/7 tube attacks in London in which 52 people died. Thereafter, instead of G8 expansion, it was the expansion of terrorism in UK.(A reluctant progressive)
Now China is leader of G-20 and US is his partner. however, instead of relaying on cold, Hot and Proxy wars, emphasis is on openness of world economy. Facts remain more important then perceptions. G-20 economies  account for around 85% of the gross world product (GWP), 80% of world trade (or, if excluding EU intra-trade, 75%), and two-thirds of the world population
Chinese President is visiting Mideast at a crucial times and his emphasis on mutual trade and mutual territorial respect  among regional countries will play a role to reduce tensions. After Saudi Visit he went to Cairo and said "Instead of looking for proxies, China promotes peace talks in the Middle East; instead of seeking any sphere of influence, China calls on all nations in the region to take part in the Belt and Road Initiative; and instead of attempting to fill any 'vacuum,' China aspires to build a network of mutually beneficial partnerships," (Xi says China not to seek proxies or fill 'vacuum' in Middle East). Before his visit of Iran, Tehran Times published an article written by an Iranian scholar Sayed Mohammad Marandi, dean of Faculty of World Studies from the University of Tehran. Hailing the China-initiated Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) , the scholar noted that it greatly complements current international financial order by bringing dividends to all Asian people.  China has take over G-20 presidency since December 2015 and will host the summit. U.S. President Barack Obama voiced support for China's presidency, saying that he looks forward to attending the Hangzhou summit. The United States is willing to work with China closely to ensure the success of the meeting, Obama told Xi on the sidelines of the Antalya summit. In this context future of wars is under threat and so is the war industry. Some powerful countries and some warrior agencies feel dejected yet they have hopes from saudi+Irani or Pak afghan or Pak India conflicts. 

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